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Red85
289814.9
252120.8
247138.0
Blue56
597010.1
683123.5
371112.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions844401001508556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.0
38.038.0
Auto8.8
Teleop20.7
End8.6
red by 14.5
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End5.2
Second
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End7.2
red by 8.2
12.60.0
12.612.6
Auto4.2
Teleop0.8
End7.5
Third
2898
#16
14.90.0
14.914.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End8.5
red by 4.8
5970
#14
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo odds13%Cargo odds
Hangar
91%Hangar odds62%Hangar odds