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Red0
371112.6
1540L10.5
289814.9
Blue11
74487.3
7034B22.3
646512.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43420102030506070011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2898
#16
14.90.0
14.914.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End8.5
blue by 7.4
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto8.6
Teleop9.5
End4.2
Second
12.60.0
12.612.6
Auto4.2
Teleop0.8
End7.5
red by 0.1
6465
#23
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.5
Third
10.50.0
10.510.5
Auto2.3
Teleop5.3
End3.0
red by 3.3
7448
#20
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo odds24%Cargo odds
Hangar
59%Hangar odds28%Hangar odds