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Red19
367427.1
363627.2
Blue9
404310.9
74487.3
703444.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6463204080100199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#18
27.20.0
27.227.2
Auto9.8
Teleop9.9
End7.4
blue by 17.4
7034
#19
44.50.0
44.544.5
Auto17.2
Teleop19.0
End8.4
Second
3674
#13
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End7.1
red by 16.2
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto3.8
Teleop2.9
End4.3
Third
2.90.0
2.92.9
Auto1.1
Teleop0.1
End1.7
blue by 4.4
7448
#20
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo odds55%Cargo odds
Hangar
71%Hangar odds50%Hangar odds