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Red58
7034B22.3
7034C22.3
273314.6
Blue43
289814.9
646512.5
263511.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67380501001502005843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto8.6
Teleop9.5
End4.2
red by 7.4
2898
#16
14.90.0
14.914.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End8.5
Second
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto8.6
Teleop9.5
End4.2
red by 9.8
6465
#23
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.5
Third
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.4
End7.5
red by 2.8
11.80.0
11.811.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo odds15%Cargo odds
Hangar
58%Hangar odds40%Hangar odds