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Red83
703444.5
281131.6
644313.2
Blue70
903417.8
95528.0
99715.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1025801502008370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.2
44.844.5
Auto17.2
Teleop19.0
End8.4
red by 16.5
955
#3
28.00.2
27.828.0
Auto7.0
Teleop14.2
End6.7
Second
31.60.2
31.831.6
Auto11.9
Teleop14.9
End4.7
red by 13.7
17.80.3
17.517.8
Auto9.1
Teleop4.9
End3.8
Third
6443
#15
13.20.2
13.413.2
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End6.4
blue by 1.9
997
#9
15.10.2
14.915.1
Auto1.9
Teleop-0.4
End13.6