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Red177
363627.2
903417.8
703444.5
Blue49
273314.6
644313.2
404310.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80350206010012014016017749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.57.2
40.447.6
Auto17.2
Teleop19.0
End8.4
red by 30.0
2733
#13
14.60.2
11.711.9
Auto4.7
Teleop2.4
End7.5
Second
3636
#14
27.27.2
25.032.2
Auto9.8
Teleop9.9
End7.4
red by 14.0
6443
#15
13.20.2
13.914.0
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End6.4
Third
17.811.9
4.216.1
Auto9.1
Teleop4.9
End3.8
red by 6.9
10.90.2
12.712.9
Auto3.8
Teleop2.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsEarned45%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsMissed53%Hangar oddsEarned