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Red54
252120.8
95716.8
404310.9
Blue65
154021.1
363627.2
644313.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486701001502005465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#11
20.80.2
19.920.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End7.2
blue by 6.4
3636
#14
27.20.3
28.729.0
Auto9.8
Teleop9.9
End7.4
Second
957
#7
16.80.2
16.216.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.3
End7.6
blue by 4.3
21.10.3
20.821.1
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End5.9
Third
10.90.2
11.311.5
Auto3.8
Teleop2.9
End4.3
blue by 2.3
6443
#15
13.20.3
11.011.3
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsMissed39%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsEarned