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Red62
281131.6
23740.3
135911.1
Blue37
903417.8
99715.1
142515.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445301001502002506237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.61.1
31.832.9
Auto11.9
Teleop14.9
End4.7
red by 13.7
17.81.2
17.216.0
Auto9.1
Teleop4.9
End3.8
Second
1359
#16
11.11.1
9.911.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End2.4
blue by 4.3
1425
#18
15.40.8
17.416.7
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End4.3
Third
2374
#17
0.31.1
0.31.4
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End-1.6
blue by 14.8
997
#9
15.10.8
13.712.9
Auto1.9
Teleop-0.4
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed62%Hangar oddsEarned