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Red105
703444.5
281131.6
644313.2
Blue56
95716.8
299023.8
363627.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1006905015010556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.2
44.744.9
Auto17.2
Teleop19.0
End8.4
red by 17.4
3636
#14
27.20.3
27.427.2
Auto9.8
Teleop9.9
End7.4
Second
31.60.2
31.732.0
Auto11.9
Teleop14.9
End4.7
red by 7.8
23.80.3
24.023.8
Auto6.6
Teleop9.7
End7.5
Third
6443
#15
13.20.2
13.413.6
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End6.4
blue by 3.6
957
#7
16.80.3
17.116.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.3
End7.6