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Red50
252118.5
143214.4
291510.8
Blue24
36014.8
46629.3
281110.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4737102030607080905024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.2
18.118.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.1
End8.3
red by 3.7
360
#12
14.80.3
15.315.1
Auto6.5
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Second
14.40.2
14.014.2
Auto3.8
Teleop0.6
End10.1
red by 3.9
2811
#21
10.50.3
11.110.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End-0.8
Third
2915
#23
10.80.2
10.410.6
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End0.7
red by 1.5
9.30.3
9.89.5
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End4.6