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Red40
703428.9
54508.7
367414.6
Blue21
41275.6
143214.4
281110.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403301020506070804021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.3
10.010.3
Auto4.1
Teleop13.8
End11.0
red by 14.5
14.41.2
9.58.3
Auto3.8
Teleop0.6
End10.1
Second
3674
#13
14.60.3
17.017.4
Auto5.1
Teleop2.9
End6.6
red by 4.1
2811
#21
10.51.2
13.912.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End-0.8
Third
5450
#22
8.70.3
9.910.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End1.7
red by 3.1
4127
#24
5.61.2
8.57.3
Auto3.3
Teleop0.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsMissed