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Red19
59707.3
36014.8
54687.5
Blue15
28988.5
66967.8
281110.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3026010204050601915

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#12
14.80.9
12.511.5
Auto6.5
Teleop5.6
End2.7
red by 4.3
2811
#21
10.51.1
10.39.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End-0.8
Second
5468
#15
7.50.9
9.38.3
Auto1.6
Teleop0.8
End5.0
blue by 1.0
2898
#20
8.51.1
9.38.2
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End4.7
Third
5970
#14
7.30.9
5.74.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End1.2
blue by 0.5
6696
#19
7.81.1
5.14.0
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed