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Red40
95524.0
381212.0
154024.6
Blue12
41275.6
46629.3
28988.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions552304060801004012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.8
17.216.4
Auto8.5
Teleop10.2
End5.8
red by 15.3
9.32.0
10.48.5
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End4.6
Second
955
#2
24.00.8
17.917.1
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End4.3
red by 15.5
2898
#20
8.52.0
8.26.3
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End4.7
Third
3812
#10
12.00.8
12.311.5
Auto4.4
Teleop3.1
End4.4
red by 6.4
4127
#24
5.62.0
7.05.0
Auto3.3
Teleop0.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsMissed