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Red18
371114.4
255712.2
143214.4
Blue42
703428.9
59707.3
291510.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4332010205060701842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3711
#18
14.42.7
12.810.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End6.2
blue by 14.4
28.91.2
19.320.5
Auto4.1
Teleop13.8
End11.0
Second
14.42.7
13.110.4
Auto3.8
Teleop0.6
End10.1
red by 3.6
2915
#23
10.81.2
7.18.3
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Third
2557
#16
12.22.7
12.810.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End2.3
red by 4.9
5970
#14
7.31.2
4.86.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsMissed