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Red38
448827.6
281110.5
28988.5
Blue29
367414.6
291510.8
23747.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45351020304050607080903829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.3
26.626.2
Auto8.7
Teleop13.4
End5.5
red by 13.0
3674
#13
14.60.5
15.014.4
Auto5.1
Teleop2.9
End6.6
Second
2811
#21
10.50.3
8.07.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End-0.8
blue by 0.3
2915
#23
10.80.5
8.88.3
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Third
2898
#20
8.50.3
6.86.4
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End4.7
red by 0.7
2374
#26
7.70.5
10.39.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed