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Red22
46629.3
5687.9
252118.5
Blue18
291510.8
683120.1
63439.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343201020405060702218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.51.5
11.610.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.1
End8.3
blue by 1.6
20.11.3
10.99.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End5.4
Second
9.31.5
10.59.1
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End4.6
blue by 1.5
2915
#23
10.81.3
10.79.3
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Third
568
#17
7.91.5
9.37.8
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End2.0
blue by 1.2
6343
#11
9.11.3
8.57.2
Auto0.8
Teleop2.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed