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Red48
5687.9
63439.1
448827.6
Blue19
59707.3
54508.7
143214.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4435102030405060704819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.3
25.726.1
Auto8.7
Teleop13.4
End5.5
red by 13.2
14.41.3
14.313.0
Auto3.8
Teleop0.6
End10.1
Second
6343
#11
9.10.3
8.08.3
Auto0.8
Teleop2.0
End6.3
red by 0.4
5450
#22
8.71.3
11.29.9
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End1.7
Third
568
#17
7.90.3
6.56.8
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End2.0
red by 0.6
5970
#14
7.31.3
8.47.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned54%Hangar oddsMissed