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Red32
41275.6
367414.6
381212.0
Blue73
703428.9
252118.5
28988.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315001020406070803273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3674
#13
14.60.0
14.514.6
Auto5.1
Teleop2.9
End6.6
blue by 14.3
28.92.6
23.325.8
Auto4.1
Teleop13.8
End11.0
Second
3812
#10
12.00.0
12.612.6
Auto4.4
Teleop3.1
End4.4
blue by 6.5
18.52.6
14.517.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.1
End8.3
Third
4127
#24
5.60.0
4.64.6
Auto3.3
Teleop0.1
End2.2
blue by 2.9
2898
#20
8.52.6
6.59.1
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed60%Hangar oddsEarned