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Red46
36014.8
291510.8
404318.8
Blue85
703428.9
154024.6
46629.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43632030507080901004685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.80.2
17.918.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.9
End5.6
blue by 10.1
28.91.7
25.827.5
Auto4.1
Teleop13.8
End11.0
Second
360
#12
14.80.2
15.115.3
Auto6.5
Teleop5.6
End2.7
blue by 9.7
24.61.7
22.524.2
Auto8.5
Teleop10.2
End5.8
Third
2915
#23
10.80.2
10.210.4
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End0.7
red by 1.5
9.31.5
8.39.8
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsEarned