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Red22
154024.6
281110.5
23747.7
Blue29
255712.2
371114.4
63439.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43340102030405060702229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.62.0
18.016.0
Auto8.5
Teleop10.2
End5.8
red by 10.1
3711
#18
14.40.4
12.612.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End6.2
Second
2811
#21
10.52.0
12.710.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End-0.8
blue by 1.7
2557
#16
12.20.4
13.112.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End2.3
Third
2374
#26
7.72.0
8.97.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End1.5
blue by 1.4
6343
#11
9.10.4
7.26.8
Auto0.8
Teleop2.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsEarned