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Red49
154024.6
95524.0
59707.3
Blue52
371114.4
404318.8
255712.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62452040801004952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.2
24.724.6
Auto8.5
Teleop10.2
End5.8
red by 5.8
18.80.2
18.418.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.9
End5.6
Second
955
#2
24.00.2
24.224.0
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End4.3
red by 9.6
3711
#18
14.40.2
14.114.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End6.2
Third
5970
#14
7.30.2
7.57.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End1.2
blue by 4.9
2557
#16
12.20.2
11.912.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End2.3