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Red37
7538.3
31317.3
99723.2
Blue91
95531.5
367424.6
546817.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275802040801003791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
#11
23.20.0
17.817.8
Auto5.7
Teleop5.3
End12.3
blue by 8.3
955
#9
31.52.4
25.027.4
Auto6.9
Teleop20.2
End4.4
Second
753
#20
8.30.0
4.84.8
Auto3.6
Teleop0.9
End3.7
blue by 16.3
24.62.4
15.417.8
Auto8.2
Teleop8.9
End7.5
Third
3131
#27
7.30.0
6.56.5
Auto1.7
Teleop2.7
End2.9
blue by 10.3
5468
#17
17.52.4
10.512.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsEarned67%Hangar oddsEarned