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Red44
80328.9
644320.9
95531.5
Blue57
273317.6
703437.0
36739.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56613040507080901004457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#9
31.51.1
28.727.6
Auto6.9
Teleop20.2
End4.4
blue by 5.4
37.00.2
32.432.2
Auto8.7
Teleop16.7
End11.6
Second
6443
#13
20.91.1
17.416.3
Auto6.6
Teleop7.4
End6.9
red by 3.3
2733
#12
17.60.2
14.314.1
Auto5.5
Teleop3.2
End8.9
Third
8032
#21
8.91.1
7.05.8
Auto3.9
Teleop1.2
End3.8
blue by 0.5
3673
#22
9.40.2
9.79.5
Auto3.2
Teleop2.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed52%Hangar oddsEarned