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Red75
644320.9
404323.3
252128.7
Blue70
448838.8
703437.0
7538.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648640801001201407570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#10
28.70.5
24.224.7
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End11.2
blue by 10.1
38.80.8
33.833.0
Auto11.2
Teleop20.6
End7.0
Second
4043
#19
23.30.5
22.523.0
Auto6.6
Teleop10.4
End6.3
blue by 13.7
37.00.8
33.632.8
Auto8.7
Teleop16.7
End11.6
Third
6443
#13
20.90.5
16.517.1
Auto6.6
Teleop7.4
End6.9
red by 12.7
753
#20
8.30.8
10.79.9
Auto3.6
Teleop0.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsEarned67%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsMissed