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Red30
36739.4
381217.6
367424.6
Blue82
363633.4
546817.5
281130.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30650204060801001203082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.5
14.614.1
Auto8.2
Teleop8.9
End7.5
blue by 8.8
33.41.9
27.629.4
Auto6.6
Teleop17.3
End9.5
Second
3812
#16
17.60.5
12.011.4
Auto6.2
Teleop5.7
End5.6
blue by 13.2
30.81.7
21.923.5
Auto10.5
Teleop17.2
End3.2
Third
3673
#22
9.40.5
6.56.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.6
End3.7
blue by 8.1
5468
#17
17.51.9
7.59.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsEarned