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Red48
381217.6
64656.5
142529.0
Blue26
302411.0
367424.6
405717.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445620801004826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.4
24.725.0
Auto10.4
Teleop9.8
End8.8
red by 4.4
24.61.7
20.518.8
Auto8.2
Teleop8.9
End7.5
Second
3812
#16
17.60.4
15.615.9
Auto6.2
Teleop5.7
End5.6
red by 0.2
4057
#15
17.41.7
16.715.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End3.7
Third
6465
#23
6.50.4
2.42.8
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End2.0
blue by 4.5
3024
#28
11.01.7
14.112.4
Auto1.9
Teleop7.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsEarned30%Hangar oddsMissed