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Red56
7538.3
405717.4
95531.5
Blue42
302411.0
26359.8
404323.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463602060801005642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#9
31.50.9
24.025.0
Auto6.9
Teleop20.2
End4.4
red by 8.2
4043
#19
23.30.2
18.818.9
Auto6.6
Teleop10.4
End6.3
Second
4057
#15
17.40.9
13.914.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End3.7
red by 6.5
3024
#28
11.00.2
12.312.5
Auto1.9
Teleop7.1
End2.0
Third
753
#20
8.30.9
3.94.8
Auto3.6
Teleop0.9
End3.7
blue by 1.5
2635
#24
9.80.2
4.34.5
Auto4.5
Teleop2.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed