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Red49
545012.2
7538.3
363633.4
Blue64
80328.9
644320.9
142529.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57613040507080901004964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.4
33.633.2
Auto6.6
Teleop17.3
End9.5
red by 4.4
29.00.5
28.529.0
Auto10.4
Teleop9.8
End8.8
Second
5450
#25
12.20.4
12.312.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End5.2
blue by 8.7
6443
#13
20.90.5
20.320.7
Auto6.6
Teleop7.4
End6.9
Third
753
#20
8.30.4
8.48.0
Auto3.6
Teleop0.9
End3.7
blue by 0.7
8032
#21
8.90.5
8.38.8
Auto3.9
Teleop1.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsEarned45%Hangar oddsEarned