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Red57
142529.0
404323.3
31317.3
Blue71
273317.6
95531.5
36739.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64583040507080901001105771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.1
29.028.8
Auto10.4
Teleop9.8
End8.8
blue by 2.6
955
#9
31.51.0
29.630.7
Auto6.9
Teleop20.2
End4.4
Second
4043
#19
23.30.1
22.822.6
Auto6.6
Teleop10.4
End6.3
red by 5.7
2733
#12
17.61.0
15.916.9
Auto5.5
Teleop3.2
End8.9
Third
3131
#27
7.30.1
7.47.3
Auto1.7
Teleop2.7
End2.9
blue by 2.2
3673
#22
9.41.0
10.011.1
Auto3.2
Teleop2.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsEarned25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsEarned