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Red77
703437.0
367424.6
273317.6
Blue59
545012.2
252128.7
99723.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63452040801007759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.01.3
30.631.9
Auto8.7
Teleop16.7
End11.6
red by 8.2
2521
#10
28.70.7
19.920.6
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End11.2
Second
24.61.3
14.115.4
Auto8.2
Teleop8.9
End7.5
red by 1.3
997
#11
23.20.7
17.217.8
Auto5.7
Teleop5.3
End12.3
Third
2733
#12
17.61.3
12.513.9
Auto5.5
Teleop3.2
End8.9
red by 5.4
5450
#25
12.20.7
7.98.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsEarned5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsEarned61%Hangar oddsEarned