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Red78
363633.4
142529.0
80328.9
Blue105
448838.8
703437.0
135914.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71962040608012014016078105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.1
33.033.1
Auto6.6
Teleop17.3
End9.5
blue by 5.4
38.80.3
37.738.0
Auto11.2
Teleop20.6
End7.0
Second
29.00.1
28.628.7
Auto10.4
Teleop9.8
End8.8
blue by 8.0
37.00.3
35.936.2
Auto8.7
Teleop16.7
End11.6
Third
8032
#21
8.90.1
8.68.7
Auto3.9
Teleop1.2
End3.8
blue by 5.3
1359
#26
14.20.3
13.213.5
Auto5.4
Teleop3.6
End5.2