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Red83
363633.4
142529.0
80328.9
Blue119
448838.8
703437.0
135914.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72972040608012014016083119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.3
33.133.4
Auto6.6
Teleop17.3
End9.5
blue by 5.4
38.80.3
38.038.4
Auto11.2
Teleop20.6
End7.0
Second
29.00.3
28.729.0
Auto10.4
Teleop9.8
End8.8
blue by 8.0
37.00.3
36.236.6
Auto8.7
Teleop16.7
End11.6
Third
8032
#21
8.90.3
8.78.9
Auto3.9
Teleop1.2
End3.8
blue by 5.3
1359
#26
14.20.3
13.513.8
Auto5.4
Teleop3.6
End5.2