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Red41
247118.8
95713.6
36736.5
Blue25
142514.4
291511.8
23746.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44340102030506070804125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#13
18.80.0
19.119.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.1
End7.7
red by 4.4
1425
#11
14.40.3
14.714.4
Auto8.3
Teleop6.1
End0.0
Second
957
#6
13.60.0
13.913.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End3.8
red by 1.8
11.80.3
12.011.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Third
3673
#19
6.50.0
6.86.9
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End1.7
red by 0.3
2374
#20
6.20.3
6.56.2
Auto2.2
Teleop1.8
End2.2