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Red65
99715.9
289814.9
445010.0
Blue40
405712.2
644315.9
273311.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4342305060706540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
#10
15.90.2
15.415.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End8.3
blue by 0.1
15.90.0
16.216.2
Auto5.2
Teleop2.5
End8.2
Second
14.90.2
14.514.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End8.5
red by 2.7
4057
#14
12.20.0
12.512.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End2.4
Third
4450
#23
10.00.2
9.810.0
Auto4.5
Teleop2.9
End2.6
blue by 1.1
2733
#18
11.10.0
11.411.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End6.9