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Red58
597010.1
41276.4
363627.6
Blue26
7533.9
135910.7
23746.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33210104050605826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.63.2
15.919.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End8.7
red by 16.9
1359
#15
10.70.5
8.28.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End3.2
Second
10.11.9
8.410.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End2.7
red by 3.8
2374
#20
6.20.3
6.77.0
Auto2.2
Teleop1.8
End2.2
Third
4127
#24
6.41.9
4.86.7
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End3.3
red by 2.5
753
#28
3.90.5
6.57.0
Auto1.6
Teleop0.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed