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Red34
41276.4
299030.9
273311.1
Blue35
135910.7
26354.3
597010.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44250204060803435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.5
21.621.1
Auto8.6
Teleop8.8
End13.4
red by 20.2
1359
#15
10.71.0
8.79.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End3.2
Second
2733
#18
11.10.5
10.59.9
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End6.9
red by 1.0
10.10.6
10.311.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End2.7
Third
4127
#24
6.40.3
6.76.4
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End3.3
red by 2.1
2635
#22
4.31.0
6.57.6
Auto1.2
Teleop1.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed