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Red24
26354.3
634312.8
41276.4
Blue10
5687.1
445010.0
59751.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242410152030352410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6343
#12
12.80.1
9.29.3
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End7.1
red by 2.8
4450
#23
10.01.4
13.111.7
Auto4.5
Teleop2.9
End2.6
Second
4127
#24
6.40.1
6.06.1
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End3.3
blue by 0.7
568
#16
7.10.8
5.24.4
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End5.2
Third
2635
#22
4.30.2
7.47.6
Auto1.2
Teleop1.5
End1.6
red by 3.2
5975
#26
1.20.8
4.03.1
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
3%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed