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Red55
597010.1
5687.1
204634.4
Blue33
273311.1
302410.4
66965.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48250204060805533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.9
27.628.5
Auto8.1
Teleop16.8
End9.5
red by 23.3
2733
#18
11.10.3
11.511.8
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End6.9
Second
10.10.6
10.411.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End2.7
blue by 0.3
3024
#27
10.40.3
8.58.8
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End2.4
Third
568
#16
7.10.6
4.45.0
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End5.2
red by 1.3
6696
#25
5.80.2
6.36.5
Auto2.2
Teleop0.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsMissed