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Red89
634312.8
363627.6
142514.4
Blue12
445010.0
31316.3
26354.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51240204060808912

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.64.3
23.227.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End8.7
red by 17.6
4450
#23
10.01.5
11.710.2
Auto4.5
Teleop2.9
End2.6
Second
1425
#11
14.44.3
11.716.0
Auto8.3
Teleop6.1
End0.0
red by 8.1
3131
#21
6.31.3
8.16.7
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.6
Third
6343
#12
12.83.0
9.312.3
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End7.1
red by 8.4
2635
#22
4.31.4
6.14.6
Auto1.2
Teleop1.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsEarned7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed