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Red62
299030.9
23746.2
99715.9
Blue53
302410.4
204634.4
7533.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56422060806253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.91.1
26.827.9
Auto8.6
Teleop8.8
End13.4
blue by 3.5
34.41.2
28.529.7
Auto8.1
Teleop16.8
End9.5
Second
997
#10
15.91.1
16.217.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End8.3
red by 5.5
3024
#27
10.41.2
8.810.0
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End2.4
Third
2374
#20
6.20.8
7.58.3
Auto2.2
Teleop1.8
End2.2
red by 2.3
753
#28
3.91.2
3.74.8
Auto1.6
Teleop0.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed