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Red22
66965.8
644315.9
597010.1
Blue26
36736.5
291511.8
31316.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37250102030405060702226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.9
16.315.4
Auto5.2
Teleop2.5
End8.2
red by 4.2
11.80.1
11.912.0
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Second
10.10.7
11.911.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End2.7
red by 3.5
3673
#19
6.50.1
6.76.8
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End1.7
Third
6696
#25
5.80.7
4.63.9
Auto2.2
Teleop0.3
End3.3
blue by 0.5
3131
#21
6.30.1
6.06.1
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed5%Hangar oddsMissed