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Red4
23746.2
405712.2
59751.2
Blue39
142514.4
597010.1
99715.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22500406080100439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4057
#14
12.21.5
14.012.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End2.4
blue by 3.6
997
#10
15.91.0
16.415.4
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End8.3
Second
2374
#20
6.21.3
7.76.4
Auto2.2
Teleop1.8
End2.2
blue by 8.2
1425
#11
14.40.9
15.514.6
Auto8.3
Teleop6.1
End0.0
Third
5975
#26
1.21.3
2.51.2
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.6
End1.2
blue by 8.9
10.10.8
11.210.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsMissed