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Red80
162628.9
180735.7
457515.7
Blue50
465316.1
43317.5
219113.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions914402060801001201401608050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.2
35.435.3
Auto7.9
Teleop17.3
End10.4
red by 18.2
433
#11
17.50.1
17.617.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End8.4
Second
28.90.2
28.728.5
Auto6.3
Teleop17.8
End4.8
red by 12.9
4653
#27
16.10.1
16.216.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.4
End3.4
Third
4575
#18
15.70.2
15.515.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End7.0
red by 2.4
2191
#16
13.30.1
13.413.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End2.8