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Red75
632717.6
139132.0
42859.9
Blue64
540116.6
260725.6
171210.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6653204060801007564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.3
32.332.7
Auto13.4
Teleop10.7
End7.9
red by 6.4
25.60.3
25.325.6
Auto9.1
Teleop11.6
End4.9
Second
6327
#19
17.60.3
18.018.3
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End5.4
red by 1.0
5401
#13
16.60.3
16.416.6
Auto5.8
Teleop6.1
End4.7
Third
4285
#20
9.90.3
10.210.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.1
End2.0
blue by 0.5
1712
#26
10.40.3
10.110.4
Auto3.9
Teleop1.7
End4.8