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Red48
25546.8
704519.4
518118.7
Blue35
87066.8
465316.1
162628.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394902060801004835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7045
#17
19.40.7
19.820.5
Auto6.2
Teleop4.8
End8.4
blue by 9.5
28.90.6
17.316.6
Auto6.3
Teleop17.8
End4.8
Second
18.70.7
13.013.7
Auto5.5
Teleop3.1
End10.1
red by 2.6
4653
#27
16.10.6
21.020.3
Auto4.2
Teleop8.4
End3.4
Third
2554
#22
6.80.7
5.15.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End2.4
Level
8706
#28
6.81.0
6.15.1
Auto1.3
Teleop3.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed