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Red40
692115.9
171210.4
48614.9
Blue48
632717.6
457515.7
540116.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384202060804048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.2
13.313.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End5.3
blue by 1.7
6327
#19
17.60.6
18.218.8
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End5.4
Second
486
#10
14.90.2
14.714.9
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End8.2
blue by 1.7
5401
#13
16.60.6
10.210.8
Auto5.8
Teleop6.1
End4.7
Third
1712
#26
10.40.2
8.48.7
Auto3.9
Teleop1.7
End4.8
blue by 5.3
4575
#18
15.70.6
10.611.2
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
83%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsEarned