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Red18
56240.8
48614.9
465316.1
Blue47
32116.8
758710.2
43317.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44402030506070801847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4653
#27
16.11.5
20.018.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.4
End3.4
blue by 1.4
433
#11
17.50.6
18.218.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End8.4
Second
486
#10
14.91.5
18.316.8
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End8.2
blue by 1.9
321
#14
16.80.6
10.811.4
Auto7.3
Teleop5.8
End3.8
Third
5624
#29
0.81.5
2.20.7
Auto0.4
Teleop-0.2
End0.7
blue by 9.3
10.20.6
9.09.6
Auto4.4
Teleop2.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsMissed