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Red70
518118.7
201630.8
219113.3
Blue51
704519.4
741416.0
457515.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57512040801007051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.1
26.027.2
Auto7.6
Teleop10.8
End12.4
red by 11.3
7045
#17
19.40.2
18.518.7
Auto6.2
Teleop4.8
End8.4
Second
18.71.1
15.316.4
Auto5.5
Teleop3.1
End10.1
red by 2.7
7414
#24
16.00.2
14.714.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.0
End6.0
Third
2191
#16
13.31.1
11.712.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End2.8
blue by 2.4
4575
#18
15.70.2
15.415.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsEarned45%Hangar oddsEarned