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Red26
171210.4
46375.4
87079.2
Blue64
260725.6
43317.5
692115.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12690204060801001202664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1712
#26
10.40.5
7.88.3
Auto3.9
Teleop1.7
End4.8
blue by 15.2
25.60.2
24.124.2
Auto9.1
Teleop11.6
End4.9
Second
8707
#23
9.20.5
5.25.7
Auto3.5
Teleop1.5
End4.2
blue by 8.3
433
#11
17.50.2
18.718.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End8.4
Third
4637
#25
5.40.5
5.76.2
Auto2.3
Teleop1.0
End2.1
blue by 10.5
15.90.2
14.514.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
3%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed78%Hangar oddsEarned