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Red68
32116.8
457515.7
540116.6
Blue57
87066.8
139132.0
219113.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46530204060801001206857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#14
16.81.6
13.915.5
Auto7.3
Teleop5.8
End3.8
blue by 15.2
32.00.6
30.431.0
Auto13.4
Teleop10.7
End7.9
Second
5401
#13
16.61.6
15.517.1
Auto5.8
Teleop6.1
End4.7
red by 3.3
2191
#16
13.30.6
11.512.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End2.8
Third
4575
#18
15.71.6
14.716.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End7.0
red by 8.9
8706
#28
6.80.7
6.77.5
Auto1.3
Teleop3.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsEarned26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsEarned